U.S. GDP · Q3 2026 Advance Estimate
The BEA schedule lists the third-quarter advance GDP estimate for October 29. This question is about the sign of the annualized real GDP growth rate, not a market consensus forecast.
Make your prediction
Will the first estimate show the U.S. economy growing or contracting?
Event details
- Event date
- Oct 29, 2026, 08:30 ET
- Prediction deadline
- Oct 29, 2026, 08:25 ET
- Market / company
- United States
- Question
- Will the first estimate show the U.S. economy growing or contracting?
- Schedule
- Officially listed
- Last verified
- Oct 28, 2026, 11:30 ET
How this call is settled
Use the BEA advance estimate of the Q3 2026 annualized quarter-over-quarter real GDP percent change, at its published one-decimal precision. Greater than 0.0% = Growth; 0.0% = Flat; less than 0.0% = Contraction. Ignore subsequent revisions. If the advance release is withdrawn or the metric is absent, mark Unresolved.
Results are reviewed and entered manually from official sources. Time passing never creates a result.
Official outcome
Awaiting official result.
Your call will be compared with the verified outcome here.